Election Update: Iowa Effects

Takeaways:

Establishment voters are coalescing around Rubio as predicted. Still they don’t add up to enough to make a majority in the primary. Expect him to get the biggest bounce.

Trump struck just the right tone after coming in second in Iowa. The press (especially Fox News) will treat him as hunter’s treat a wounded animal now. He now MUST win in New Hampshire. A loss would mean too much bleeding of support and portend the end. A win put him back in the driver’s seat and he may never look back. New Hampshire decides.

Cruz still has an uphill battle going forward but he should get a bounce. His victory speech was too long and the tone was wrong for the New Hampshire voters he should have been speaking to. Too religious.

Everyone else should drop out. But they all won’t.

2016-02-04T11:36:48+00:00February 1st, 2016|The Daily Stir|0 Comments